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ECON 252: Financial Markets

Lecture 10 - Debt Markets: Term Structure. The markets for debt, both public and private far exceed the entire stock market in value and importance. The U.S. Treasury issues debt of various maturities through auctions, which are open only to authorized buyers. Corporations issue debt with investment banks as intermediaries. The interest rates are not set by the Treasury, the corporations or the investment bankers, but are determined by the market, reflecting economic forces about which there are a number of theories. The real and nominal rates and the coupons of a bond determine its price in the market. The term structure, which is the plot of yield-to-maturity against time-to-maturity indicates the value of time for points in the future. Forward rates are the future spot rates that can be calculated using today's bond prices. Finally, indexed bonds, which are indexed to inflation, offer the safest asset of all and their price reveals a fundamental economic indicator, the real interest rate.
(from oyc.yale.edu)

Lecture 10 - Debt Markets: Term Structure

Time Lecture Chapters
[00:00:00] 1. Introduction
[00:04:25] 2. The Discount and Investment Rates
[00:19:12] 3. The Bid-Ask Spread and Murdoch's Wall Street Journal
[00:29:17] 4. Defining Bonds and the Pricing Formula
[00:39:38] 5. Derivation of the Term Structure of Interest Rates
[00:52:34] 6. Lord John Hicks's Forward Rates: Derivation and Calculations
[01:06:09] 7. Inflation and Interest Rates

References
Lecture 10 - Debt Markets: Term Structure
Instructor: Professor Robert J. Shiller. Resources: Lecture 10 [PDF]. Transcript [html]. Audio [mp3]. Download Video [mov].

Go to the Course Home or watch other lectures:

Lecture 01 - Finance and Insurance as Powerful Forces in Our Economy and Society
Lecture 02 - The Universal Principle of Risk Management: Pooling and the Hedging of Risks
Lecture 03 - Technology and Invention in Finance
Lecture 04 - Portfolio Diversification and Supporting Financial Institutions (CAPM Model)
Lecture 05 - Insurance: The Archetypal Risk Management Institution
Lecture 06 - Efficient Markets vs. Excess Volatility
Lecture 07 - Behavioral Finance: The Role of Psychology
Lecture 08 - Human Foibles, Fraud, Manipulation, and Regulation
Lecture 09 - Guest Lecture by David Swensen
Lecture 10 - Debt Markets: Term Structure
Lecture 11 - Stocks
Lecture 12 - Real Estate Finance and its Vulnerability to Crisis
Lecture 13 - Banking: Successes and Failures
Lecture 14 - Guest Lecture by Andrew Redleaf
Lecture 15 - Guest Lecture by Carl Icahn
Lecture 16 - The Evolution and Perfection of Monetary Policy
Lecture 17 - Investment Banking and Secondary Markets
Lecture 18 - Professional Money Managers and Their Influence
Lecture 19 - Brokerage, ECNs, etc.
Lecture 20 - Guest Lecture by Stephen Schwarzman
Lecture 21 - Forwards and Futures
Lecture 22 - Stock Index, Oil and Other Futures Markets
Lecture 23 - Options Markets
Lecture 24 - Making It Work for Real People: The Democratization of Finance
Lecture 25 - Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis I (Lawrence Summers)
Lecture 26 - Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis II (Lawrence Summers)