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ECON 251: Financial Theory

Lecture 19 - History of the Mortgage Market: A Personal Narrative. Professor Geanakoplos explains how, as a mathematical economist, he became interested in the practical world of mortgage securities, and how he became the Head of Fixed Income Securities at Kidder Peabody, and then one of six founding partners of Ellington Capital Management. During that time Kidder Peabody became the biggest issuer of collateralized mortgage obligations, and Ellington became the biggest mortgage hedge fund. He describes securitization and tranching of mortgage pools, the role of investment banks and hedge funds, and the evolution of the prime and subprime mortgage markets. He also discusses agent based models of prepayments in the mortgage market. (from oyc.yale.edu)

Lecture 19 - History of the Mortgage Market: A Personal Narrative

Time Lecture Chapters
[00:00:00] 1. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the Mortgage Securities Market
[00:17:01] 2. Collateralized Mortgage Obligations
[00:22:44] 3. Modeling Prepayment Tendencies at Kidder Peabody
[00:35:40] 4. The Rise of Ellington Capital Management and the Role of Hedge Funds
[00:52:52] 5. The Leverage Cycle and the Subprime Mortgage Market
[01:13:51] 6. The Credit Default Swap
[01:18:36] 7. Conclusion

References
Lecture 19 - History of the Mortgage Market: A Personal Narrative
Instructor: Professor John Geanakoplos. Transcript [html]. Audio [mp3]. Download Video [mov].

Go to the Course Home or watch other lectures:

Lecture 01 - Why Finance?
Lecture 02 - Utilities, Endowments, and Equilibrium
Lecture 03 - Computing Equilibrium
Lecture 04 - Efficiency, Assets, and Time
Lecture 05 - Present Value Prices and the Real Rate of Interest
Lecture 06 - Irving Fisher's Impatience Theory of Interest
Lecture 07 - Shakespeare's Merchant of Venice and Collateral, Present Value and the Vocabulary of Finance
Lecture 08 - How a Long-Lived Institution Figures an Annual Budget; Yield
Lecture 09 - Yield Curve Arbitrage
Lecture 10 - Dynamic Present Value
Lecture 11 - Social Security
Lecture 12 - Overlapping Generations Models of the Economy
Lecture 13 - Demography and Asset Pricing: Will the Stock Market Decline when the Baby Boomers Retire?
Lecture 14 - Quantifying Uncertainty and Risk
Lecture 15 - Uncertainty and the Rational Expectations Hypothesis
Lecture 16 - Backward Induction and Optimal Stopping Times
Lecture 17 - Callable Bonds and the Mortgage Prepayment Option
Lecture 18 - Modeling Mortgage Prepayments and Valuing Mortgages
Lecture 19 - History of the Mortgage Market: A Personal Narrative
Lecture 20 - Dynamic Hedging
Lecture 21 - Dynamic Hedging and Average Life
Lecture 22 - Risk Aversion and the Capital Asset Pricing Theorem
Lecture 23 - The Mutual Fund Theorem and Covariance Pricing Theorems
Lecture 24 - Risk, Return, and Social Security
Lecture 25 - The Leverage Cycle and the Subprime Mortgage Crisis
Lecture 26 - The Leverage Cycle and Crashes